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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Cowboys offensive gameplan to tilt 3.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • This week, Tony Pollard is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.7 targets.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point uptick in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) from last year to this one, Tony Pollard has been more prominently incorporated in his team's pass game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

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