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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused team in football (64.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Dallas Cowboys.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 129.3 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

In this game, Tony Pollard is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.2 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

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