Tony Pollard Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
Tony Pollard's 59.8% Route Participation% this season marks a significant progression in his air attack utilization over last season's 44.3% figure.
The projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 5.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Bills linebackers rank as the 9th-best unit in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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