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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-200/+160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys offensive scheme to tilt 5.7% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

Tony Pollard has been used more as a potential target this year (56.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (44.3%).

In this week's game, Tony Pollard is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 79th percentile among running backs with 3.9 targets.

Tony Pollard's receiving skills have gotten better this year, averaging 3.6 adjusted receptions vs just 2.4 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 17.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are a heavy favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Cowboys offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.38 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

The Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to pass rush.

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