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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-195/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -195.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to garner 3.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among RBs.

Tony Pollard's 16.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 11.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 89.5% to 78.1%.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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