My Account Log Out

reorder

Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Tony Pollard has been used more as a potential target this year (42.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (26.3%).

THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to garner 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.

The New York Giants linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.

Tony Pollard's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 89.0% to 80.9%.

The New York Giants pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in football (68.1%) to running backs this year (68.1%).

More Tony Pollard Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™