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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • Tony Pollard has been used more as a potential target this season (41.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (26.3%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to accrue 3.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys have been the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.2% pass rate.
  • Tony Pollard's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 89.0% to 74.8%.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have used play action on a lowly 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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