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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Tony Pollard has run a route on 57.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The model projects Tony Pollard to total 3.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Tony Pollard has notched a massive 1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among running backs. (This may not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Titans since the start of last season (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Tony Pollard's 4.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a significant reduction in his efficiency in space over last year's 5.8% rate.

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