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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

With an impressive 58.1% Route% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Tony Pollard ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.

The projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 3.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Tony Pollard has accumulated a colossal 1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile among running backs. (This may not seem like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans since the start of last season (a measly 54.6 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

With a feeble 4.6 adjusted yards per target (13th percentile) since the start of last season, Tony Pollard ranks as one of the bottom pass-game RBs in the league.

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