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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (41.1 per game) this year.

Tony Pollard has been more involved as a potential target this season (56.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (44.3%).

This week, Tony Pollard is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 90th percentile among running backs with 4.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.

Tony Pollard's 6.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a significant regression in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 9.7% figure.

The Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Philadelphia's unit has been great this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

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