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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.43 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to notch 4.2 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Tony Pollard's pass-game efficiency has worsened this year, accumulating a measly 5.49 yards-per-target compared to a 6.46 mark last year.

Tony Pollard's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, notching a mere 5.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.74 mark last year.

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