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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.2 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Tony Pollard has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (59.5% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (44.3%).

The projections expect Tony Pollard to earn 3.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Tony Pollard's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching a measly 4.50 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.46 mark last year.

Tony Pollard's 5.96 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a meaningful regression in his efficiency in space over last year's 9.7% figure.

This year, the tough Washington Commanders pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing running backs: a puny 5.1 YAC.

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