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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

Tony Pollard's 59.1% Route Participation Rate this year reflects a meaningful growth in his pass attack workload over last year's 44.3% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Cowboys being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Tony Pollard's 4.7 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a substantial decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 6.5 figure.

Tony Pollard's 6.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a material diminishment in his efficiency in space over last season's 9.7% rate.

This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has conceded a paltry 71.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

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