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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
  • Tony Pollard's 59.8% Route Participation% this season marks a significant progression in his air attack utilization over last season's 44.3% figure.
  • The projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 5.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Tony Pollard's receiving efficiency has worsened this season, notching a mere 4.89 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.46 figure last season.
  • Tony Pollard's 6.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a substantial drop-off in his efficiency in space over last year's 9.7% figure.
  • The Bills linebackers rank as the 9th-best unit in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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