Tony Pollard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
Tony Pollard has notched a lot fewer receiving yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).
Tony Pollard's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 89.0% to 62.6%.
Tony Pollard's receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, accumulating a mere 4.46 yards-per-target vs a 7.82 mark last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (76%) vs. RBs this year (76.0%).

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