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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to earn 3.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Tony Pollard's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 89.5% to 78.1%.
  • Tony Pollard's pass-game efficiency has worsened this year, notching just 6.48 yards-per-target compared to a 7.73 rate last year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (72.7%) versus RBs this year (72.7%).

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