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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.7 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to accumulate 3.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.

Tony Pollard has compiled a whopping 5.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Tony Pollard's 17.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 11.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

Tony Pollard's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 89.5% to 79.6%.

Tony Pollard's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, compiling a mere 6.59 yards-per-target vs a 7.73 figure last year.

More Tony Pollard Player Props

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