Tony Pollard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Tony Pollard has run more routes this year (41.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (26.6%).
THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to notch 3.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
Tony Pollard's talent in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this season, notching 11.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 7.68 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
Tony Pollard has totaled many fewer receiving yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).
Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 89.5% to 80.0%.

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