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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Tony Pollard has run more routes this year (41.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (26.6%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to notch 3.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
  • Tony Pollard's talent in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this season, notching 11.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 7.68 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
  • Tony Pollard has totaled many fewer receiving yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).
  • Tony Pollard's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 89.5% to 80.0%.

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