Tony Pollard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 9:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Tony Pollard has been used more as a potential target this year (42.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (26.3%).
THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to garner 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
Tony Pollard has been among the top pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a stellar 19.0 yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
Tony Pollard's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 89.0% to 80.9%.
The New York Giants pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in football (68.1%) to running backs this year (68.1%).

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