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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Tony Pollard has been used more as a potential target this year (42.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (26.3%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to garner 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • Tony Pollard has been among the top pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a stellar 19.0 yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
  • Tony Pollard's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 89.0% to 80.9%.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in football (68.1%) to running backs this year (68.1%).

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