Tony Pollard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to earn 3.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among RBs.
Tony Pollard's skills in generating extra yardage have improved this season, compiling 12.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 8.08 figure last season.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus running backs this year, conceding 6.27 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in football.
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 56.1% pass rate.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
Tony Pollard has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, playing on 47.3% of snaps compared to just 30.2% last season.

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