Tony Pollard Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+436/-994).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -983 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -994.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
Tony Pollard's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 89.0% to 71.5%.
Tony Pollard ranks in the 1st percentile among RBs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
The Chicago Bears safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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