Tony Pollard Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+880/-3000).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Washington Commanders defense has given up the most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to running backs: 0.55 per game since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
Tony Pollard has accumulated a paltry 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 21st percentile among RBs.
Tony Pollard's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 88.9% to 63.5%.
Tony Pollard ranks in the 1st percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (73.5%) to RBs since the start of last season (73.5%).

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