Tony Pollard Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+880/-3000).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Tony Pollard has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in an impressive 89.4% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile.

Favors Under

Tony Pollard ranks in the 1st percentile among RBs when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have used play action on a mere 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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