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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 43.4% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most run-focused offense in football has been the Tennessee Titans.

The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to accrue 17.6 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.

While Tony Pollard has accounted for 58.5% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Tennessee's run game in this game at 43.5%.

The Bills safeties project as the 23rd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Titans are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).

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