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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Titans to be the 7th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.1% run rate.

Our trusted projections expect Tony Pollard to notch 16.2 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Tony Pollard has been given 65.1% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

The Colts defensive tackles rank as the 6th-best DT corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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