Tony Pollard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to earn 16.2 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
After comprising 41.6% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Tony Pollard has been more involved in the run game this season, currently making up 62.7%.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run on 40.0% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles project as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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