Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-135/+105).
Key Factors
Favors Over
With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.
The projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 17.3 carries in this game, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
After comprising 41.6% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Tony Pollard has had a larger role in the running game this season, currently sitting at 63.0%.
Favors Under
The projections expect the Cowboys offensive gameplan to tilt 3.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.