Tony Pollard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.43 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to earn 17.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive ends project as the 7th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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