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Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-109).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.In this week's game, Tony Pollard is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 96th percentile among RBs with 17.9 rush attempts.After comprising 41.6% of his offense's run game usage last season, Tony Pollard has been more involved in the run game this season, now making up 63.2%.As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Seattle's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).At the present time, the 8th-least run-oriented team in the league (36.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dallas Cowboys.Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
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