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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Carries
Player Prop Week 1

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 45.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.

The Dallas Cowboys have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The New York Giants defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best DT corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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