Tony Pollard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.6% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Tony Pollard has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, playing on 44.2% of snaps vs just 30.2% last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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