Tony Pollard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-102).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 40.4% run rate.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
Tony Pollard has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 44.7% of snaps compared to just 30.2% last year.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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