Tony Pollard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the best in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
The New York Giants linebackers profile as the worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 42.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

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