Tony Pollard Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Tony Pollard

NFL · Player Props

Tony Pollard

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Pollard Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-136/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys rank as the 9th-most run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.5% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Tony Pollard has received 43.1% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties rank as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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