Tony Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tony Jones

NFL · Player Props

Tony Jones

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM EST

Analysis

Tony Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
Tony Jones's running efficiency (2.43 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (18th percentile among running backs).

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