Tony Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tony Jones

NFL · Player Props

Tony Jones

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Tony Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Tony Jones to notch 12.2 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Tony Jones to be a more important option in his team's running game this week (45.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.1% in games he has played).
Opposing teams have rushed for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (138 per game) against the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 7th-least run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 35.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
Tony Jones's ground efficiency (2.45 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (17th percentile among running backs).

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