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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Tommy Tremble Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Tommy Tremble has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (55.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (36.9%).

The Saints linebackers profile as the 10th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 54.2% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Panthers to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (only 54.0 per game on average).

This year, the daunting New Orleans Saints defense has conceded a puny 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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