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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tommy Tremble Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (38.7 per game) this year.

While Tommy Tremble has earned 7.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Carolina's passing attack in this contest at 12.5%.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (83.4%) versus TEs this year (83.4%).

The Buccaneers linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 6th-least pass-focused offense in the league (57.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to call the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Panthers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.4 plays per game.

Tommy Tremble's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 76.9% to 72.7%.

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