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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a massive -7-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • Tommy Tremble's 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a noteable improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 62.0% rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Panthers to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Panthers to run the 11th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Tommy Tremble's 35.6% Route Participation Rate this year marks a material regression in his passing attack volume over last year's 47.7% mark.
  • The Carolina O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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