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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +138 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.
  • Tommy Tremble's 80.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a remarkable progression in his receiving talent over last year's 62.0% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 5th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 126.5 total plays run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Packers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 33.4 per game) this year.
  • Tommy Tremble's 10.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 17.3.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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