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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Las Vegas Raiders vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
  • The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded a colossal 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 9th-biggest rate in football.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's LB corps has been awful since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 4th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (54.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Panthers O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • With a weak 6.7 adjusted yards per target (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Tommy Tremble stands among the worst pass-game tight ends in the league.

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