Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Tommy Tremble

TE · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 15, 2024 7:22 PM EST

Analysis

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -5-point underdog in this week's game.
The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Chargers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.
The Chargers pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.2%) to tight ends since the start of last season (78.2%).
The Chargers linebackers grade out as the 8th-worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Panthers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.