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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.

The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.

Tommy Tremble's 80.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a remarkable progression in his receiving talent over last year's 62.0% mark.

This year, the anemic Packers defense has allowed the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a staggering 9.09 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 5th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 126.0 total plays run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Packers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 33.4 per game) this year.

Tommy Tremble's 10.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 17.3.

The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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