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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to start backup QB Sam Darnold in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Tommy Tremble has accounted for a colossal 9.2% of his team's air yards this year: 78th percentile among tight ends.

The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 9th-most receiving yards per game in football (52.0) vs. TEs this year.

The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.74 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.9 plays per game.

Tommy Tremble has been among the worst tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a mere 11.0 yards per game while checking in at the 19th percentile among tight ends.

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