Tommy DeVito TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tommy DeVito

NFL · Player Props

Tommy DeVito

QB · New York Giants

TD Passes

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Tommy DeVito TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-220/+170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Giants to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 53.2% red zone pass rate.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in the NFL vs. the Saints defense this year (62.6% Adjusted Completion%).
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New Orleans's CB corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.

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