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Tommy DeVito

Tommy DeVito TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Tommy DeVito TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Giants being an enormous -7.5-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the New York Giants to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.7 plays per game.

The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.1 per game) this year.

This year, the poor Commanders defense has been gouged for a massive 2.10 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 4th-least pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 51.8% red zone pass rate.

The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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