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Tommy DeVito

Tommy DeVito Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs New England Patriots

Tommy DeVito Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to run on 46.2% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 131.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in football last year at blocking for the run game.

The Patriots defense has had the 4th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up just 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New England's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in football.

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