Tommy DeVito Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tommy DeVito

NFL · Player Props

Tommy DeVito

QB · New York Giants

Completions

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Tommy DeVito Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -17.5-point underdog in this week's game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 60.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 8th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.58 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the imposing Cowboys defense has surrendered a mere 65.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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