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Tom Kennedy

Tom Kennedy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Tom Kennedy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (71.5%) versus wideouts this year (71.5%).

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has not been good when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.11 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in football.

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.

Tom Kennedy has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of just 3.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 17th percentile among wide receivers.

Tom Kennedy has accrued a puny 11.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 17th percentile among WRs.

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