My Account Log Out

reorder

Tom Brady

Tom Brady TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams

Tom Brady TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-162/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 67.8% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 42.7 passes this week, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in football.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

More Tom Brady Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™